Many Kiwis have memories of primary school earthquake drills – of diving under the desk and bracing their heads while the teacher counted backwards from 10.
Living in a geologically turbulent country, many too will have memories of the real thing.
But how many Kiwis know what to do when a big one strikes in the backcountry?
The alpine fault line, which runs through the Southern Alps, is due a decent shake and it’s not a matter of if, but when it starts to rumble.
QuakeCoRE’s Dr Caroline Orchiston works in the AF8 [Alpine Fault Magnitude 8) team, developing nationwide response plans for a magnitude 8 or higher quake.
“My interest in the alpine fault goes back 20 years of mapping the fault, and I’ve spent quite a lot of time in the hills thinking what it might mean to be sitting on the fault,” she says.
“Evidence suggests it generates a characteristic earthquake every 300 years, plus or minus a decade or two.
“The last time it went was in 1717, so the fault is towards the end of its seismic cycle.”
Orchiston says there is a knowledge gap in the outdoor community when it comes to earthquake preparedness.
“There’s a whole lot more we should be doing in terms of making information available to trampers and in huts – there is some out there, but we need a whole lot more,” she says.
That a large earthquake is due to shake the Alps shouldn’t come as a surprise, says Canterbury Civil Defence Emergency Management Canterbury’s Gareth Birch.
“You’re tramping through the very geological processes that shaped the landscape – literally the making and breaking of Aotearoa,” he says.
While scientists can study and measure patterns, there is currently no means of predicting when the alpine fault will let loose.
Orchiston doesn’t let the risk stop her from enjoying the backcountry, but always goes out “with fingers slightly crossed”.
“Anywhere you go in the mountains, there are inherent risks in your environment, so I don’t dwell on it too much,” she says.
“You don’t want to live your life in fear of something happening, but if it happens, you want to have in mind the things you might do.”

